Pablo Carreno Busta won. Smart money backed Mariano Navone (31 ranked wallets, average entry 55¢) and lost. Volume $1.4M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
CandleHammerDrums took +$31k on Pablo Carreno Busta from 46¢; the biggest loser gave up $190k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Invictus Gaming 19% · Gen.G 81% | $1.0M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Gavin Newsom 11% · Abdul El-Sayed 1% | $649k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $640k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · James Talarico 1% | $621k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 52% · Bilibili Gaming 25% · T1 17% | $615k |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07? | Yes 59% · No 41% | $507k |
| New Zealand legislative election winner? | National Party 99% · Labour Party 1% | $506k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz | Casper Ruud 5% · Carlos Alcaraz 95% | $377k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| CandleHammerDrums | Pablo Carreno Busta | $31k |
| Limousin | Pablo Carreno Busta | $14k |
| Luzzzer | Mariano Navone | $12k |
| Scotty8153 | Pablo Carreno Busta | $11k |
| Illiasca | Mariano Navone | $10k |
| Venusian | Pablo Carreno Busta | $7k |
| LightParadox | Pablo Carreno Busta | $6k |
| Under1345 | Pablo Carreno Busta | $3k |
| Dingwin | Pablo Carreno Busta | $3k |
| mkhlusta | Pablo Carreno Busta | $2k |
| 0xa3ae… | Pablo Carreno Busta | $2k |
| AnonymousUsername | Pablo Carreno Busta | $1k |
511 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $118k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $311k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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