Maxime Janvier won. Smart money backed Semen Pankin (10 ranked wallets, average entry 27¢) and lost. Volume $98k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
Venusian took +$2.8k on Maxime Janvier from 73¢; the biggest loser gave up $2.9k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 45% · David Lisnard 14% · Édouard Philippe 10% | $1.1M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Gavin Newsom 8% · Ro Khanna 2% | $811k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $643k |
| Fed Decision in December? | No change 18% · 50+ bps decrease 0% | $627k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 63% · Bilibili Gaming 37% | $580k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 5% · No 95% | $452k |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) | Bills 48% · Vikings 53% | $450k |
| Sopo: Tatjana Maria vs Luisina Giovannini | Tatjana Maria 100% · Luisina Giovannini 1% | $440k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Venusian | Maxime Janvier | $3k |
| LightParadox | Maxime Janvier | $1k |
| MadridTime | Maxime Janvier | $902.02 |
| Limousin | Maxime Janvier | $875.50 |
| SlickRick123 | Maxime Janvier | $780.47 |
| thirdt1me | Maxime Janvier | $636.56 |
| thestingsnake | Maxime Janvier | $480.65 |
| breadjr | Maxime Janvier | $291.12 |
| Sammybolung | Maxime Janvier | $279.69 |
| 0x1e3b… | Maxime Janvier | $215.13 |
| ojg | Maxime Janvier | $203.50 |
| keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Maxime Janvier | $164.13 |
154 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $11k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $13k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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