Flavio Cobolli won. Smart money backed Tommy Paul (8 ranked wallets, average entry 59¢) and lost. Volume $3.7M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · R Senate, D House 24% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $2.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.4M |
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 26% · IA, KS 12% · MI 1% | $1.7M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 28% | $1.3M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 77% · Mike Rogers (R) 24% | $1.0M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 28% | $746k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 16% · Christine Lagarde 8% · Sarah Knafo 1% | $648k |
| Eagles vs. Commanders | Eagles 29% · Commanders 71% | $583k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xa0f2… | Flavio Cobolli | $26k |
| jimbim2 | Flavio Cobolli | $11k |
| ChallengerSpecialist | Flavio Cobolli | $9k |
| 0xf3a1… | Flavio Cobolli | $6k |
| Eddd1x | Flavio Cobolli | $4k |
| 0xb94c… | Flavio Cobolli | $3k |
| UsagiMagi | Flavio Cobolli | $3k |
| kaokc422c | Flavio Cobolli | $3k |
| TrajanCapital | Flavio Cobolli | $3k |
| Greencandle10 | Flavio Cobolli | $2k |
| notgoodluck | Flavio Cobolli | $2k |
| Serjflash | Flavio Cobolli | $2k |
963 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $113k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $60k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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