Hugo Grenier won. Smart money backed Luka Pavlovic (5 ranked wallets, average entry 56¢) and lost. Volume $153k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
Venusian took +$3.3k on Hugo Grenier from 21¢; the biggest loser gave up $59k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Gavin Newsom 7% · Ro Khanna 2% | $874k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $678k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 63% · Bilibili Gaming 37% | $608k |
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 46% · David Lisnard 15% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 14% | $602k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $416k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 94% · No 7% | $412k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 93% | $407k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 25% · No 76% | $392k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Venusian | Hugo Grenier | $3k |
| LightParadox | Hugo Grenier | $2k |
| Limousin | Hugo Grenier | $2k |
| keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Hugo Grenier | $1k |
| 0xa0f2… | Hugo Grenier | $1k |
| the1prophet | Hugo Grenier | $917.04 |
| alpheclabs | Hugo Grenier | $824.51 |
| MadridTime | Hugo Grenier | $582.18 |
| poshposh | Hugo Grenier | $339 |
| 0x9be8… | Hugo Grenier | $321.77 |
| Gptball | Hugo Grenier | $276.89 |
| top-traders | Hugo Grenier | $232.91 |
100 wallets held a position at the close. The 50 biggest winners took $16k; the 50 biggest losers gave up $66k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
The smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.