Pavlos Tsitsipas won. Smart money backed Tiago Pereira (3 ranked wallets, average entry 67¢) and lost. Volume $123k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 8% · IA, KS 8% | $4.2M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.3M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · Republicans Sweep 6% · D Senate, R House 1% | $2.0M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 30% | $2.0M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 74% · Ken Paxton (R) 28% | $1.4M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.3M |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 16% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12% · Christine Lagarde 7% | $739k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in November? | Yes 94% · No 6% | $395k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| GeepaP | Pavlos Tsitsipas | $1k |
| Lastdance6769 | Pavlos Tsitsipas | $1k |
| polkals | Pavlos Tsitsipas | $502.50 |
| Shawnyou | Pavlos Tsitsipas | $419.16 |
| 0x5803… | Pavlos Tsitsipas | $404.81 |
| TennisRedCard | Pavlos Tsitsipas | $295.56 |
| berlinskies | Pavlos Tsitsipas | $248.86 |
| CentralC4 | Pavlos Tsitsipas | $123.20 |
| CandleHammerDrums | Pavlos Tsitsipas | $122.14 |
| Xlasha7 | Pavlos Tsitsipas | $107.27 |
| 0xbb3e… | Pavlos Tsitsipas | $92.08 |
| 0x7abd… | Pavlos Tsitsipas | $86.59 |
128 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $5.9k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $21k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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