Lorenzo Carboni won. Smart money backed Leo Raquillet (3 ranked wallets, average entry 35¢) and lost. Volume $17k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
0x61a8… took +$1.5k on Lorenzo Carboni from 61¢; the biggest loser gave up $935.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Gavin Newsom 8% · Ro Khanna 2% | $875k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $678k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 63% · Bilibili Gaming 37% | $607k |
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 46% · David Lisnard 15% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 14% | $605k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 6% · No 94% | $466k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $416k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 94% · No 7% | $410k |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) | Bills 47% · Vikings 54% | $380k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x61a8… | Lorenzo Carboni | $1k |
| the1prophet | Lorenzo Carboni | $353.89 |
| 0x9be8… | Lorenzo Carboni | $151.42 |
| Gptball | Lorenzo Carboni | $64.86 |
| 0x8ab3… | Lorenzo Carboni | $60.47 |
| SchruteBucks | Lorenzo Carboni | $56.46 |
| YEZA | Lorenzo Carboni | $52.04 |
| JOS9 | Lorenzo Carboni | $52.04 |
| eFMBS | Lorenzo Carboni | $50.51 |
| Venusian | Lorenzo Carboni | $50.41 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | Lorenzo Carboni | $45.16 |
| TRCM | Lorenzo Carboni | $27.83 |
75 wallets held a position at the close. The 39 biggest winners took $2.6k; the 36 biggest losers gave up $2.2k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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