Leonardo Rossi won. Smart money backed Nico Hipfl (8 ranked wallets, average entry 29¢) and lost. Volume $5.4k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 33% · IA 10% · IA, KS 6% | $12.8M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 94% · Republican Party 6% | $6.7M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 76% · R Senate, D House 20% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $5.4M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 76% · Republican Party 25% | $4.3M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 74% · Ken Paxton (R) 26% | $3.6M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 77% · Mike Rogers (R) 24% | $1.5M |
| Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma | Manchester United FC 47% · AS Roma 32% | $1.2M |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 63% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 37% | $1.2M |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x2559… | Leonardo Rossi | $87.61 |
| 0x8f12… | Leonardo Rossi | $84.85 |
| TuttyFruity | Leonardo Rossi | $61.75 |
| Endeverafter | Leonardo Rossi | $52.75 |
| atomiczenmonkey | Leonardo Rossi | $27.05 |
| ET65 | Leonardo Rossi | $21.55 |
| bahn-cuon-baby | Leonardo Rossi | $19.11 |
| jmp123 | Leonardo Rossi | $11.88 |
| UNEB3154s4f251 | Leonardo Rossi | $11.85 |
| LightParadox | Leonardo Rossi | $7.80 |
| betfun... | Leonardo Rossi | $6.97 |
| Limousin | Leonardo Rossi | $4.92 |
45 wallets held a position at the close. The 23 biggest winners took $426; the 22 biggest losers gave up $317. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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