Nikolai Barsukov won. Smart money backed Toufik Sahtali (14 ranked wallets, average entry 43¢) and lost. Volume $195k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
robustmst took +$39k on Nikolai Barsukov from 46¢; the biggest loser gave up $4.4k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 45% · David Lisnard 12% · Édouard Philippe 8% | $1.1M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Gavin Newsom 8% · Ro Khanna 2% | $807k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $682k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 63% · Bilibili Gaming 37% | $585k |
| Fed Decision in December? | No change 20% · 50+ bps decrease 1% | $582k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 5% · No 95% | $473k |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) | Bills 48% · Vikings 53% | $434k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $416k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| robustmst | Nikolai Barsukov | $39k |
| omnibus-076daa | Nikolai Barsukov | $1k |
| 0x71c0… | Nikolai Barsukov | $653.95 |
| Ambul1 | Nikolai Barsukov | $255.47 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | Nikolai Barsukov | $189.46 |
| hhhizli | Nikolai Barsukov | $173.87 |
| LightParadox | Nikolai Barsukov | $145.85 |
| 0x8ab3… | Nikolai Barsukov | $133.49 |
| Arcus-AI | Nikolai Barsukov | $132.49 |
| joohndoee | Nikolai Barsukov | $108.81 |
| gavnol | Nikolai Barsukov | $108 |
| DMCV | Nikolai Barsukov | $106.42 |
115 wallets held a position at the close. The 59 biggest winners took $43k; the 56 biggest losers gave up $19k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
The smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.