Yuta Shimizu won. Smart money backed Dimitris Sakellaridis (1 ranked wallet, average entry 24¢) and lost. Volume $13k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 35% · IA 10% · IA, KS 9% | $3.4M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.4M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · Republicans Sweep 6% · D Senate, R House 1% | $1.9M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 30% | $1.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 73% · Ken Paxton (R) 28% | $1.4M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.3M |
| Raptors vs. Lakers | Raptors 11% · Lakers 90% | $788k |
| Clippers vs. Warriors | Clippers 19% · Warriors 82% | $662k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x896d… | Yuta Shimizu | $379.61 |
| Arcus-AI | Yuta Shimizu | $180 |
| glennyorkshire | Yuta Shimizu | $147.48 |
| HighIQDegens | Yuta Shimizu | $30.64 |
| CandleHammerDrums | Yuta Shimizu | $28.74 |
| 0x11c5… | Yuta Shimizu | $15.45 |
| eFMBS | Yuta Shimizu | $8.91 |
| AD-01 | Yuta Shimizu | $7.65 |
| juanitooo12358 | Yuta Shimizu | $1.34 |
| scofield2 | Yuta Shimizu | $0.95 |
| temparal | Yuta Shimizu | $0.81 |
| clownly | Dimitris Sakellaridis | −$86.96 |
27 wallets held a position at the close. The 11 biggest winners took $802; the 16 biggest losers gave up $205. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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