Karen Khachanov won. Smart money backed Denis Shapovalov (7 ranked wallets, average entry 35¢) and lost. Volume $1.1M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| 0xcdcc… | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 78% · R Senate, D House 18% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $7.1M |
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 34% · IA 11% · IA, KS 7% | $5.8M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 96% · Republican Party 5% | $3.6M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 79% · Republican Party 23% | $2.9M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.3M |
| Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC | Everton FC 62% · Newcastle United FC 12% | $1.2M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 76% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $994k |
| Bears vs. Seahawks | Bears 39% · Seahawks 62% | $619k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| LightParadox | Karen Khachanov | $24k |
| 0x2559… | Karen Khachanov | $17k |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Karen Khachanov | $13k |
| 0xd9e0… | Karen Khachanov | $10k |
| Limousin | Karen Khachanov | $9k |
| 999585 | Karen Khachanov | $8k |
| MadridTime | Karen Khachanov | $8k |
| keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Karen Khachanov | $8k |
| 0x796f… | Karen Khachanov | $7k |
| DrSlips | Karen Khachanov | $7k |
| 0x5fd2… | Karen Khachanov | $5k |
| 0xa3c2… | Karen Khachanov | $3k |
552 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $173k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $129k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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