Ben Shelton won. Smart money backed Denis Shapovalov (30 ranked wallets, average entry 22¢) and lost. Volume $1.3M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 1% · Brian Kemp 1% | $3.5M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Josh Shapiro 6% · James Talarico 3% | $2.0M |
| 76ers vs. Pistons | 76ers 78% · Pistons 23% | $1.6M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.6M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.4M |
| Hawks vs. Wizards | Hawks 79% · Wizards 21% | $875k |
| Bucks vs. Celtics | Bucks 4% · Celtics 96% | $844k |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan | Central Michigan 95% · Eastern Michigan 6% | $781k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0b1 | Ben Shelton | $29k |
| fastball67 | Ben Shelton | $5k |
| degenfren | Ben Shelton | $4k |
| 0xec37… | Ben Shelton | $2k |
| 0x5f30… | Ben Shelton | $1k |
| 0x0b5b… | Ben Shelton | $1k |
| Eddd1x | Ben Shelton | $941.55 |
| Diablosistrade | Ben Shelton | $788.40 |
| 1Day100USD | Ben Shelton | $590.79 |
| NightStalker106 | Ben Shelton | $551.73 |
| lustra123 | Ben Shelton | $538.46 |
| chenfeng999 | Ben Shelton | $371.45 |
595 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $52k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $33k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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