Lautaro Midon won. Smart money backed Lucas Da Silva (7 ranked wallets, average entry 16¢) and lost. Volume $21k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 99% · Republican Party 1% | $11.1M |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes 100% · No 0% | $10.2M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 99% · R Senate, D House 0% · Republicans Sweep 0% | $9.7M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 99% · Ken Paxton (R) 1% | $7.7M |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Gina Hinojosa (D) 96% · Greg Abbott (R) 4% | $4.2M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 97% · Mike Rogers (R) 3% | $3.5M |
| Maine Senate Election Winner | Troy Jackson (D) 92% · Susan Collins (R) 9% | $1.2M |
| Nebraska Senate Election Winner | Pete Ricketts (R) 90% · Independent 10% | $1.1M |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| CandleHammerDrums | Lautaro Midon | $270.44 |
| MadridTime | Lautaro Midon | $100.86 |
| thestingsnake | Lautaro Midon | $71.22 |
| Venusian | Lautaro Midon | $56.16 |
| atomiczenmonkey | Lautaro Midon | $46.56 |
| MatrixAttack | Lautaro Midon | $46.14 |
| 0x58e8… | Lautaro Midon | $45.99 |
| LightParadox | Lautaro Midon | $44.65 |
| AD-01 | Lautaro Midon | $41.80 |
| 0x1e3b… | Lautaro Midon | $15.98 |
| Eulhunter | Lautaro Midon | $15.71 |
| ET65 | Lautaro Midon | $14.50 |
78 wallets held a position at the close. The 38 biggest winners took $904; the 40 biggest losers gave up $3.2k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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