Joaquin Aguilar won. Smart money backed Joao Lucas Da Silva (2 ranked wallets, average entry 6¢) and lost. Volume $99k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
111 wallets held a position at the close. The 51 biggest winners took $11k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $5.3k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 25% · IA, KS 12% · IA 11% | $6.4M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 21% | $1.8M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.7M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 24% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.6M |
| Nebraska Senate Election Winner | Pete Ricketts (R) 74% · Independent 26% | $767k |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 30% | $650k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 73% · Republican Party 28% | $495k |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner | Ashley Hinson (R) 57% · Josh Turek (D) 42% | $462k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| tennistrader20 | Joaquin Aguilar | $5k |
| 0xf12f… | Joaquin Aguilar | $4k |
| Lilybaeum | Joaquin Aguilar | $362.38 |
| CandleHammerDrums | Joaquin Aguilar | $339.07 |
| 0x99f0… | Joaquin Aguilar | $289.07 |
| treterters | Joaquin Aguilar | $241.40 |
| 0x576d… | Joaquin Aguilar | $213.57 |
| 0x61a6… | Joaquin Aguilar | $186.90 |
| 0xc1d7… | Joaquin Aguilar | $173.70 |
| tennis-loser | Joaquin Aguilar | $115.80 |
| SharkVision | Joaquin Aguilar | $92.94 |
| Auro8 | Joaquin Aguilar | $74.62 |