Jannik Sinner won. Smart money backed Alexander Zverev (35 ranked wallets, average entry 20¢) and lost. Volume $12.0M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 36% · IA 12% · IA, KS 6% | $10.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $7.1M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 77% · R Senate, D House 20% · Republicans Sweep 4% | $6.1M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 77% · Republican Party 25% | $4.6M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 77% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $3.9M |
| Florida Governor Election Winner | Byron Donalds (R) 69% · David Jolly (D) 30% | $1.9M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 78% · Mike Rogers (R) 23% | $1.9M |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Top Esports 21% · Invictus Gaming 79% | $1.6M |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| palegrit | Jannik Sinner | $547k |
| ZizzWizz | Jannik Sinner | $279k |
| MonsieurDimanche | Jannik Sinner | $36k |
| IQdegen | Jannik Sinner | $25k |
| Weaseloftheweek | Jannik Sinner | $24k |
| user20267495 | Jannik Sinner | $15k |
| 0xa0f2… | Jannik Sinner | $13k |
| 8a7sh2 | Jannik Sinner | $10k |
| kibanachi | Jannik Sinner | $8k |
| Bordski1 | Jannik Sinner | $8k |
| Cuco84 | Jannik Sinner | $7k |
| angelat0 | Jannik Sinner | $6k |
3,000 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.1M; the 60 biggest losers gave up $956k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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