Braden Shick won. Smart money backed Colton Smith (7 ranked wallets, average entry 59¢) and lost. Volume $21k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Marco Rubio 19% · Ron DeSantis 14% · Brian Kemp 1% | $2.2M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 23% · Josh Shapiro 5% · Andy Beshear 4% | $1.7M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 79% · No change 21% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.3M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.2M |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 81% · AEK 8% | $856k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 14% · No 87% | $742k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · JD Vance 15% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 14% | $540k |
| Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-04? | Yes 53% · No 47% | $409k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 01258787xy48487484545122 | Braden Shick | $14k |
| berlinskies | Braden Shick | $245.35 |
| 0x6318… | Braden Shick | $135.45 |
| jmp123 | Braden Shick | $18.90 |
| BigShark-706 | Braden Shick | $17.74 |
| betfun... | Braden Shick | $15.86 |
| RadioFreeZerg | Braden Shick | $13.97 |
| noclevername | Braden Shick | $11.89 |
| 6827491 | Braden Shick | $11.13 |
| Limousin | Braden Shick | $9.32 |
| 1reydar | Braden Shick | $7.27 |
| dentleightadman | Braden Shick | $5.98 |
51 wallets held a position at the close. The 29 biggest winners took $14k; the 22 biggest losers gave up $1.3k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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