Alejandro Tabilo won. Smart money backed Lorenzo Sonego (30 ranked wallets, average entry 50¢) and lost. Volume $1.3M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh took +$37k on Alejandro Tabilo from 57¢; the biggest loser gave up $44k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 87% · 50+ bps increase 9% · No change 4% | $801k |
| Helsinki: Oskari Paldanius vs Svyatoslav Gulin | Oskari Paldanius 19% · Svyatoslav Gulin 82% | $525k |
| Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks | Pepperdine Waves 41% · Oregon Ducks 59% | $475k |
| Spread: Lions (-2.5) | Lions 53% · Patriots 48% | $408k |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner | PARIVISION 32% · GamerLegion 68% | $404k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $385k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes 30% · No 70% | $358k |
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 47% · Édouard Philippe 7% · Teddy Riner 2% | $350k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Alejandro Tabilo | $37k |
| Venusian | Alejandro Tabilo | $24k |
| kkookkoo | Alejandro Tabilo | $18k |
| MultiQuant24hAgent | Alejandro Tabilo | $13k |
| haiyoushui | Alejandro Tabilo | $13k |
| sbimbg | Lorenzo Sonego | $8k |
| 0x9bfe… | Alejandro Tabilo | $7k |
| 0xe1c0… | Alejandro Tabilo | $6k |
| LightParadox | Alejandro Tabilo | $5k |
| 0x9f15… | Alejandro Tabilo | $5k |
| VeryLucky888 | Alejandro Tabilo | $4k |
| lzh1 | Alejandro Tabilo | $4k |
781 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $207k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $208k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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