Rafael Jodar won. Smart money backed Thiago Agustin Tirante (5 ranked wallets, average entry 43¢) and lost. Volume $336k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 26% · IA, KS 12% · IA 10% | $3.8M |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC | Arsenal FC 63% · Draw (Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC) 25% · Liverpool FC 12% | $1.6M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.5M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.5M |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | Over 35% · Under 65% | $1.3M |
| Browns vs. Steelers | Browns 35% · Steelers 66% | $881k |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) | Steelers 51% · Browns 50% | $827k |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 30% | $636k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| MODDI | Rafael Jodar | $8k |
| CandleHammerDrums | Rafael Jodar | $4k |
| Keilerbets | Rafael Jodar | $2k |
| gq3g31egv1eq | Rafael Jodar | $1k |
| 0xa3ae… | Rafael Jodar | $1k |
| 0x3a8a… | Rafael Jodar | $725.14 |
| Hiho820 | Rafael Jodar | $714.37 |
| Starvoy | Rafael Jodar | $378.24 |
| vanya723 | Rafael Jodar | $338.19 |
| Voltaire-674 | Rafael Jodar | $325.76 |
| 0x01c9… | Rafael Jodar | $290.74 |
| simpson10 | Rafael Jodar | $280 |
275 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $23k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $8.3k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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