Adrian Mannarino won. Smart money backed Thiago Agustin Tirante (21 ranked wallets, average entry 32¢) and lost. Volume $869k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 12% · Joe Kent 2% · Brian Kemp 1% | $3.9M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Josh Shapiro 6% · James Talarico 2% | $2.1M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.6M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.4M |
| 76ers vs. Pistons | 76ers 64% · Pistons 36% | $1.1M |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $787k |
| Bucks vs. Celtics | Bucks 12% · Celtics 88% | $780k |
| Hawks vs. Wizards | Hawks 75% · Wizards 25% | $664k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| BillyGating | Adrian Mannarino | $119k |
| 0x5f65… | Thiago Agustin Tirante | $12k |
| Dragua9 | Adrian Mannarino | $1k |
| Earth-Bender | Thiago Agustin Tirante | $878.28 |
| TexMexTRex | Adrian Mannarino | $559.75 |
| Refaelnadal | Thiago Agustin Tirante | $547.83 |
| 0x98f9… | Adrian Mannarino | $520.88 |
| 0x5803… | Adrian Mannarino | $495.93 |
| Diablosistrade | Adrian Mannarino | $393.73 |
| 322matches | Adrian Mannarino | $357.32 |
| Pestusko | Adrian Mannarino | $322.06 |
| M.A.O | Adrian Mannarino | $286.95 |
516 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $141k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $25k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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