Leonardo Storck Franca won. Smart money backed Miguel Tobon (4 ranked wallets, average entry 28¢) and lost. Volume $139k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| 0xcdcc… | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 77% · R Senate, D House 18% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $7.2M |
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 34% · IA 11% · IA, KS 7% | $6.4M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $4.0M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 77% · Republican Party 24% | $3.2M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 80% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 76% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $1.2M |
| Bears vs. Seahawks | Bears 39% · Seahawks 62% | $624k |
| Hawks vs. Pacers | Hawks 79% · Pacers 22% | $588k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xfe78… | Leonardo Storck Franca | $8k |
| tennistrader20 | Leonardo Storck Franca | $4k |
| 0x8699… | Leonardo Storck Franca | $3k |
| Limousin | Leonardo Storck Franca | $2k |
| 0x2559… | Leonardo Storck Franca | $1k |
| RN1 | Leonardo Storck Franca | $765.81 |
| 0xa3c2… | Leonardo Storck Franca | $562.95 |
| NotJump | Leonardo Storck Franca | $400 |
| MadridTime | Leonardo Storck Franca | $399.24 |
| LightParadox | Leonardo Storck Franca | $127.25 |
| DM134 | Leonardo Storck Franca | $97.36 |
| DCAAA | Leonardo Storck Franca | $74.85 |
66 wallets held a position at the close. The 35 biggest winners took $20k; the 31 biggest losers gave up $21k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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