Juan Bautista Torres won. Smart money backed Nicolas Bruna (4 ranked wallets, average entry 5¢) and lost. Volume $31k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 1% · Brian Kemp 1% | $3.6M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Josh Shapiro 5% · James Talarico 3% | $2.1M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.6M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.3M |
| Bucks vs. Celtics | Bucks 10% · Celtics 90% | $973k |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan | Central Michigan 95% · Eastern Michigan 5% | $782k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $762k |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) | Grizzlies 37% · Pacers 63% | $718k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| flatbarrel | Juan Bautista Torres | $126.61 |
| MadridTime | Juan Bautista Torres | $69.68 |
| 0x0828… | Juan Bautista Torres | $58.15 |
| Limousin | Juan Bautista Torres | $45.79 |
| Venusian | Juan Bautista Torres | $36.75 |
| 0x7609… | Juan Bautista Torres | $9.95 |
| rambo2233 | Juan Bautista Torres | $9.81 |
| the1prophet | Juan Bautista Torres | $6 |
| jzko22 | Juan Bautista Torres | $5.21 |
| LightParadox | Juan Bautista Torres | $4.43 |
| temparal | Juan Bautista Torres | $3 |
| zoroelnino | Juan Bautista Torres | $3 |
48 wallets held a position at the close. The 20 biggest winners took $392; the 28 biggest losers gave up $955. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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