Juan Bautista Torres won. Smart money backed Ryan Nijboer (8 ranked wallets, average entry 22¢) and lost. Volume $45k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 67% · No change 32% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.8M |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 79% · Draw (Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań) 14% · KKS Lech Poznań 9% | $1.3M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 4% | $1.1M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 19% · Kamala Harris 4% | $1.1M |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Dplus KIA 42% · Bilibili Gaming 59% | $1.0M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 35% · Marco Rubio 22% · Joe Kent 1% | $713k |
| Magic vs. Suns | Magic 50% · Suns 51% | $493k |
| Spread: Warriors (-6.5) | Warriors 52% · Heat 49% | $462k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Juan Bautista Torres | $3k |
| 0xa3c2… | Juan Bautista Torres | $657.87 |
| Limousin | Juan Bautista Torres | $344.28 |
| LightParadox | Juan Bautista Torres | $170.57 |
| Rishiram | Ryan Nijboer | $99.25 |
| Venusian | Juan Bautista Torres | $97.95 |
| the1prophet | Juan Bautista Torres | $97.06 |
| Chrischo9090 | Juan Bautista Torres | $81.99 |
| username122 | Juan Bautista Torres | $70.40 |
| 7RINCIPIT0 | Juan Bautista Torres | $58.49 |
| eFMBS | Juan Bautista Torres | $58.45 |
| Eulhunter | Juan Bautista Torres | $56.35 |
98 wallets held a position at the close. The 52 biggest winners took $5.3k; the 46 biggest losers gave up $7.3k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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