Marco Trungelliti won. Smart money backed Zdenek Kolar (3 ranked wallets, average entry 52¢) and lost. Volume $0. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
235 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $3.4k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $16k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 26% · IA 11% · IA, KS 11% | $7.4M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 21% | $1.8M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.8M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · R Senate, D House 24% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.5M |
| Nebraska Senate Election Winner | Pete Ricketts (R) 74% · Independent 26% | $778k |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 30% | $602k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 28% | $480k |
| Florida Governor Election Winner | Byron Donalds (R) 65% · David Jolly (D) 35% | $344k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| IKun11 | Marco Trungelliti | $637.55 |
| 0x9dea… | Marco Trungelliti | $567.37 |
| DeFiPredictionMan | Marco Trungelliti | $334.39 |
| 0xce9d… | Marco Trungelliti | $272.00 |
| kokkaraa | Marco Trungelliti | $225.77 |
| 0x5baf… | Marco Trungelliti | $185.71 |
| LongshotLouis | Marco Trungelliti | $149.36 |
| xbtc200 | Marco Trungelliti | $128.39 |
| tuzara82 | Marco Trungelliti | $127.05 |
| fdevb | Marco Trungelliti | $78.27 |
| saddoge | Marco Trungelliti | $54.64 |
| TennisOG | Marco Trungelliti | $54.00 |