Juan Pablo Varillas won. Smart money backed Dmitry Popko (7 ranked wallets, average entry 50¢) and lost. Volume $41k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
185 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.9k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $3.7k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 25% · IA, KS 12% · IA 11% | $6.3M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.9M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 21% | $1.8M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · R Senate, D House 24% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.5M |
| Pan Pacific Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Diana Shnaider | Leylah Fernandez 53% · Diana Shnaider 47% | $1.4M |
| Nebraska Senate Election Winner | Pete Ricketts (R) 74% · Independent 26% | $777k |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 30% | $653k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 28% | $496k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| ofsid | Juan Pablo Varillas | $1k |
| Docmed | Juan Pablo Varillas | $197.11 |
| CMKK | Juan Pablo Varillas | $137.70 |
| 0xc98b… | Juan Pablo Varillas | $123.11 |
| BGrinding | Juan Pablo Varillas | $104.81 |
| 0xe8c6… | Juan Pablo Varillas | $98.83 |
| dogsandcats123 | Juan Pablo Varillas | $92.31 |
| Oruomabir | Juan Pablo Varillas | $88.32 |
| 0xe60a… | Juan Pablo Varillas | $73.52 |
| TennisSquare | Juan Pablo Varillas | $66.01 |
| phatgentleman | Juan Pablo Varillas | $51.08 |
| betttttt | Juan Pablo Varillas | $50.02 |