Stan Wawrinka won. Smart money backed Martin Landaluce (6 ranked wallets, average entry 50¢) and lost. Volume $773k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 9% · IA, KS 8% | $4.0M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.4M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 73% · Republican Party 28% | $2.3M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 72% · Republicans Sweep 6% · D Senate, R House 1% | $2.3M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 74% · Ken Paxton (R) 27% | $1.4M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.3M |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 16% · Christine Lagarde 8% · Sarah Knafo 0% | $643k |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B | PARIVISION 18% · G2 82% | $632k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| CandleHammerDrums | Stan Wawrinka | $16k |
| Jooboo123 | Stan Wawrinka | $2k |
| alaskabaked | Stan Wawrinka | $2k |
| StJames1 | Stan Wawrinka | $2k |
| k56 | Stan Wawrinka | $1k |
| 0x479e… | Stan Wawrinka | $1k |
| 0xa34f… | Stan Wawrinka | $862.50 |
| 0x4c07… | Stan Wawrinka | $849.96 |
| Juan12345678 | Stan Wawrinka | $829.94 |
| SALADITO | Stan Wawrinka | $725.85 |
| sdjkhgjkdhskjg | Stan Wawrinka | $640 |
| 0x1602… | Stan Wawrinka | $622.36 |
477 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $40k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $102k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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