Federico Zeballos won. Smart money backed Samuel Heredia (2 ranked wallets, average entry 66¢) and lost. Volume $38k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| 0xcdcc… | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 76% · R Senate, D House 18% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $7.2M |
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 34% · IA 11% · IA, KS 7% | $6.4M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $4.0M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 77% · Republican Party 24% | $3.2M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 80% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 75% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $1.2M |
| Bears vs. Seahawks | Bears 39% · Seahawks 62% | $624k |
| Hawks vs. Pacers | Hawks 79% · Pacers 22% | $588k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| CandleHammerDrums | Federico Zeballos | $3k |
| 0xb3e3… | Federico Zeballos | $408.61 |
| frapyz | Federico Zeballos | $375.33 |
| Rishiram | Federico Zeballos | $79.07 |
| 0x64ec… | Federico Zeballos | $77.04 |
| Hhnm | Federico Zeballos | $61.38 |
| moneyline7 | Federico Zeballos | $31.60 |
| 0x6a34… | Federico Zeballos | $23.08 |
| Jhonsonr | Federico Zeballos | $22.83 |
| mtp909 | Federico Zeballos | $21.76 |
| sinhtuycanh | Federico Zeballos | $21.76 |
| 0xd863… | Federico Zeballos | $15.89 |
63 wallets held a position at the close. The 32 biggest winners took $4.1k; the 31 biggest losers gave up $4.6k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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