Miomir Kecmanovic won. Smart money backed Michael Zheng (24 ranked wallets, average entry 48¢) and lost. Volume $806k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 12% · Joe Kent 2% · Brian Kemp 1% | $3.9M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Josh Shapiro 6% · James Talarico 2% | $2.1M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.6M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.4M |
| 76ers vs. Pistons | 76ers 64% · Pistons 36% | $1.1M |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $787k |
| Bucks vs. Celtics | Bucks 12% · Celtics 88% | $780k |
| Hawks vs. Wizards | Hawks 75% · Wizards 25% | $664k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| BarNAH | Miomir Kecmanovic | $5k |
| User7429 | Miomir Kecmanovic | $2k |
| Roadtop100k | Miomir Kecmanovic | $2k |
| NoMMS111 | Miomir Kecmanovic | $854.99 |
| Majmuncina | Miomir Kecmanovic | $686.70 |
| 911lover | Michael Zheng | $616.85 |
| ignz | Miomir Kecmanovic | $560.73 |
| tenenze | Miomir Kecmanovic | $546.62 |
| 1n5h4ll4h | Miomir Kecmanovic | $513.18 |
| chicken123455 | Miomir Kecmanovic | $467.50 |
| DuskRider8 | Miomir Kecmanovic | $433.33 |
| liloveric | Miomir Kecmanovic | $425.93 |
819 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $22k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $37k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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