Takuya Kumasaka won. Smart money backed Maxim Zhukov (6 ranked wallets, average entry 13¢) and lost. Volume $845k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
hudson62 took +$10k on Takuya Kumasaka from 85¢; the biggest loser gave up $11k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 87% · 50+ bps increase 9% · No change 4% | $1.1M |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs | Spirit 56% · FURIA 44% | $920k |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner | Spirit 46% · FURIA 54% | $502k |
| Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks | Pepperdine Waves 43% · Oregon Ducks 57% | $463k |
| Spread: Lions (-2.5) | Lions 53% · Patriots 48% | $405k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 37% · John McEntee 2% | $397k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes 8% · No 92% | $391k |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Gavin Newsom 10% · Josh Shapiro 6% | $366k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| hudson62 | Takuya Kumasaka | $10k |
| eweqewweqerwqrewqrwerqweqrwerqwer | Takuya Kumasaka | $6k |
| MadridTime | Takuya Kumasaka | $4k |
| itsonlyamatteroftime | Takuya Kumasaka | $2k |
| smithagent | Takuya Kumasaka | $2k |
| LightParadox | Takuya Kumasaka | $2k |
| suitcase6628 | Takuya Kumasaka | $2k |
| realjappy | Takuya Kumasaka | $1k |
| tradecraft | Takuya Kumasaka | $1k |
| Limousin | Takuya Kumasaka | $721.71 |
| NotJump | Takuya Kumasaka | $660.49 |
| 0x5317… | Takuya Kumasaka | $633.84 |
242 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $38k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $32k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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