Yes won. Smart money backed No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 50¢) and lost. Volume $92k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 4? | Yes 51% · No 49% | $86k |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 4? | Yes 100% · No 0% | $65k |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $62k |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 4? | Yes 7% · No 93% | $55k |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 4? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $54k |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 4? | Yes 100% · No 0% | $46k |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 4? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $43k |
| Bitcoin price on November 4? | 78,000-80,000 42% · 74,000-76,000 5% · 72,000-74,000 1% | $39k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| nathangame | Yes | $2k |
| 0xed12… | Yes | $989.14 |
| negar | Yes | $556.56 |
| JaIsOne1 | Yes | $302.06 |
| netherdragon | Yes | $256.88 |
| coinman2 | Yes | $251.22 |
| 196874353278 | Yes | $192.20 |
| maniacite | Yes | $120.01 |
| coinfilippe | Yes | $104.03 |
| Tokor | Yes | $73.55 |
| Favorite-Birdwatcher | No | $70.93 |
| akarnet | No | $67.16 |
216 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $5.7k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $5.0k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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