Down won. Smart money backed Up (5 ranked wallets, average entry 59¢) and lost. Volume $47k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 15% · Brian Kemp 1% · Byron Donalds 1% | $3.2M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · Andy Beshear 4% · Josh Shapiro 4% | $2.1M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 81% · No change 20% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.4M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.2M |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 82% · AEK 8% | $1.1M |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $648k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata | Novak Djokovic 69% · Rinky Hijikata 32% | $559k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · JD Vance 15% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% | $457k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| t0xid | Up | $192.84 |
| alex421 | Down | $123.98 |
| johnthek | Down | $116.97 |
| BspMoussa | Down | $115.67 |
| ramzdende | Down | $89.18 |
| 0x932a… | Down | $80.76 |
| 0x1fda… | Down | $75.99 |
| DQ24 | Down | $72.24 |
| ab314cd | Down | $69.04 |
| Kirillm | Down | $68.27 |
| mbigm | Down | $63.08 |
| 0x2c75… | Down | $57.75 |
264 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.1k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $3.9k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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