Up won. Smart money backed Down (2 ranked wallets, average entry 94¢) and lost. Volume $50k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 15% · Brian Kemp 1% · Byron Donalds 1% | $2.6M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · Andy Beshear 4% · Josh Shapiro 3% | $2.0M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 79% · No change 21% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.4M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.2M |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 82% · AEK 8% | $942k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 14% · No 87% | $712k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · JD Vance 15% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% | $454k |
| Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-04? | Yes 53% · No 48% | $410k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x8a04… | Up | $4k |
| 0x575b… | Up | $381.10 |
| KARIZMATIKU | Up | $286.97 |
| LondonBridge | Up | $247 |
| 0x72ca… | Up | $167.24 |
| oldlib | Up | $162.31 |
| 0x759d… | Up | $139.18 |
| Awesome-Yarmulke-Gingerbread | Up | $114.82 |
| Bernacca | Up | $108.03 |
| Robotron.4 | Up | $103.40 |
| bibana100 | Up | $94.09 |
| ns139 | Up | $90.43 |
263 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $7.8k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $7.2k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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