Down won. Smart money backed Up (5 ranked wallets, average entry 37¢) and lost. Volume $180k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
easyclap took +$3.4k on Down from 92¢; the biggest loser gave up $1.2k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs | Spirit 38% · FURIA 63% | $1.4M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 87% · 50+ bps increase 9% · No change 4% | $1.1M |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner | Spirit 36% · FURIA 64% | $616k |
| Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks | Pepperdine Waves 41% · Oregon Ducks 59% | $468k |
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 47% · Édouard Philippe 7% · Teddy Riner 2% | $423k |
| Spread: Lions (-2.5) | Lions 53% · Patriots 48% | $405k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes 8% · No 92% | $389k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes 30% · No 71% | $350k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| easyclap | Down | $3k |
| Eager47259 | Down | $1k |
| vedaresearch.btc | Down | $635.73 |
| Eager47259 | Up | $375.53 |
| flokeat | Down | $360 |
| 0x0b62… | Down | $345.46 |
| Niseko | Down | $305.99 |
| crixuswu | Down | $130.89 |
| incrediblemachine | Down | $118.98 |
| ace | Down | $114.37 |
| lukatst | Down | $61.35 |
| 0xb483… | Down | $60.35 |
151 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $7.5k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $4.8k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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