Up won. Smart money backed Down (2 ranked wallets, average entry 36¢) and lost. Volume $199k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 12% · Joe Kent 1% · Brian Kemp 1% | $3.9M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Josh Shapiro 6% · James Talarico 2% | $2.1M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.6M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.4M |
| 76ers vs. Pistons | 76ers 70% · Pistons 30% | $1.2M |
| Bucks vs. Celtics | Bucks 5% · Celtics 95% | $808k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $780k |
| Hawks vs. Wizards | Hawks 69% · Wizards 31% | $757k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| fred4332 | Up | $6k |
| Tokor | Up | $3k |
| 196874353278 | Up | $2k |
| Yosooooooo | Up | $1k |
| vedaresearch.btc | Up | $1k |
| 0x9dc6… | Up | $1k |
| 0xb676… | Up | $855.55 |
| growzizi | Up | $557.80 |
| honk75 | Up | $526.85 |
| flexer78 | Up | $399.71 |
| ftrxc64afn | Up | $374.46 |
| 196874353278 | Down | $360.38 |
232 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $21k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $21k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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