Up won. Smart money backed Down (3 ranked wallets, average entry 5¢) and lost. Volume $138k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 1% · Brian Kemp 1% | $3.6M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Josh Shapiro 5% · James Talarico 3% | $2.1M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.6M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.3M |
| Bucks vs. Celtics | Bucks 15% · Celtics 85% | $973k |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan | Central Michigan 96% · Eastern Michigan 5% | $782k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $762k |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) | Grizzlies 37% · Pacers 63% | $718k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| coinman2 | Up | $888.56 |
| LesMeGo | Up | $631.07 |
| Yosooooooo | Up | $523.35 |
| c231dw1 | Up | $521.01 |
| growzizi | Up | $372.93 |
| 196874353278 | Up | $308.24 |
| PrivateWin | Up | $298.07 |
| incrediblemachine | Up | $291.58 |
| ComTruise | Up | $290.77 |
| vedaresearch.btc | Up | $287.61 |
| Paulosf | Up | $255.00 |
| dwayne98 | Up | $197.49 |
206 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $7.5k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $11k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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