Le Mans won. Smart money backed Pau-Orthez (1 ranked wallet, average entry 43¢) and lost. Volume $199. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
12 wallets held a position at the close. The 8 biggest winners took $30; the 4 biggest losers gave up $14. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 25% · IA, KS 12% · IA 11% | $4.8M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.7M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 30% | $646k |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 82% · Mike Rogers (R) 19% | $571k |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner | Ashley Hinson (R) 59% · Josh Turek (D) 42% | $454k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 73% · Republican Party 28% | $437k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 20% · Christine Lagarde 6% | $297k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mirkoAnon | Le Mans | $18.62 |
| v4test | Le Mans | $4.79 |
| 0ooo0o0o0oo0o0 | Le Mans | $2.45 |
| Sanago | Le Mans | $1.36 |
| Globalprediction | Le Mans | $0.94 |
| MURAT-CHANCE-347D8F5C536C0B6D | Le Mans | $0.76 |
| 0xfe67… | Le Mans | $0.65 |
| AntiVaxxer | Le Mans | $0.60 |
| sportsdirect | Pau-Orthez | −$8.79 |
| 0x3948jdk97h75g | Pau-Orthez | −$2.58 |
| 0xakwz | Pau-Orthez | −$2.04 |
| 0xc7d5… | Pau-Orthez | −$0.65 |