Up won. Smart money backed Down (2 ranked wallets, average entry 46¢) and lost. Volume $107k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 30% · IA 10% · IA, KS 6% | $12.2M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 76% · R Senate, D House 20% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $9.3M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $6.3M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 75% · Republican Party 26% | $3.6M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 73% · Ken Paxton (R) 28% | $3.0M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.6M |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 63% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 37% | $1.1M |
| Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | ≤47 56% · 48 14% · 49 11% | $891k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| YYxx1995 | Up | $2k |
| caspter | Up | $1k |
| 0xf893… | Up | $1k |
| kuyy555 | Up | $960.12 |
| arbfinder2026 | Up | $956.83 |
| cjp123456 | Up | $920.19 |
| kttt1234 | Up | $769.21 |
| pouwz | Up | $749.56 |
| 0x29de… | Up | $711.24 |
| alppppp999999 | Up | $673.93 |
| ssssllllll666 | Up | $636.28 |
| pottt999 | Up | $617.98 |
432 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $20k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $9.0k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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