Who won the most on “Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET”?

tlfd4 took $8.4k on Up at an average entry of 50¢; the biggest loser gave up $5.3k on Down. The winners and losers below are realized at resolution from on-chain fills, not self-reported.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds and volume from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every wallet by name with its fills — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; point the odds widget at a live market, add a wallet, and publish it as a page of its own.

Market · resolved

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Up won. Smart money backed Down (4 ranked wallets, average entry 56¢) and lost. Volume $379k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

Winner
Up
Smart money lost
Down
Volume
$379k
Closed
Oct 3, 2026

See who really won.Every wallet on this market by name — fills, entries and what each one took home — on Polynyx.See the smart money ↗

Settled

Who won and who lost.

316 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $19k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $62k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.

Winners · Up

P&L on this market

1tlfd4
+$8.4k
$17k at 50¢ · all-time −$416k
25e6ds5xaaddf0xsharp
+$1.4k
$2.4k at 43¢ · all-time +$12k
3d5e6x5xaasharp

Smart wallets

Who held each side.

Down

4 wallets · 9,857 known shares

3123123121313
entry 57¢ · all-time +$45k · win 54%
asdaasdawhale
entry 54¢ · all-time +$85k · win 53%
berlinskieswhale
entry 57¢ · all-time +$72k · win 50%
RLWG
entry 52¢ · all-time +$31k · win 32%

More live markets

FAQ

Who won “Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET” on Polymarket?: Up won; it closed Oct 3, 2026, on $379k of volume. Smart money backed Down (4 ranked wallets, average entry 56¢) and lost. The odds widget charts the path to the close.
Who won the most on “Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET”?: tlfd4 took $8.4k on Up at an average entry of 50¢; the biggest loser gave up $5.3k on Down. The winners and losers below are realized at resolution from on-chain fills, not self-reported.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds and volume from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every wallet by name with its fills — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; point the odds widget at a live market, add a wallet, and publish it as a page of its own.

Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

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