Up won. Smart money backed Down (2 ranked wallets, average entry 65¢) and lost. Volume $339k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders | Eagles 44% · Commanders 56% | $3.3M |
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 30% · IA, KS 10% · MI 1% | $2.6M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.3M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · Republicans Sweep 6% · D Senate, R House 1% | $1.9M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 72% · Ken Paxton (R) 28% | $1.4M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.2M |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) | Commanders 34% · Eagles 66% | $757k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 28% | $754k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| maxmaxi04 | Up | $10k |
| tlfd1 | Up | $8k |
| tlfd4 | Up | $6k |
| A1729 | Up | $5k |
| fs7ehfsuetbs | Up | $5k |
| CurtsingerMellberg | Up | $3k |
| minusalpha1 | Up | $3k |
| LexiPrime | Up | $2k |
| 0xc878… | Up | $2k |
| 0x6c78… | Up | $1k |
| Danik123456 | Up | $1k |
| princezote | Up | $1k |
596 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $63k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $80k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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