Up won. Smart money backed Down (3 ranked wallets, average entry 16¢) and lost. Volume $43k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 21% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.8M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Abdul El-Sayed 1% | $1.5M |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 70% · Puma Shen 31% | $440k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 20% · Glenn Youngkin 0% · Nikki Haley 0% | $431k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 25% · T1 17% | $422k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz | Taylor Fritz 26% · Carlos Alcaraz 74% | $381k |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Karmine Corp 18% · T1 83% | $381k |
| Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) | T1 35% · Karmine Corp 66% | $374k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x1bc3… | Up | $234.21 |
| hehexd69 | Up | $170.01 |
| 0xc45f… | Up | $119.84 |
| traderoffical | Up | $117.26 |
| A1729 | Up | $96.32 |
| McxBoi | Up | $78.01 |
| poliphonicly1 | Up | $46.56 |
| polpotatoes | Up | $46.05 |
| 0x8ecb… | Up | $42.86 |
| highpolis | Up | $41.34 |
| irnwl | Up | $39.60 |
| 0xce25… | Up | $34.74 |
194 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.5k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.6k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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