Down won. Smart money backed Up (5 ranked wallets, average entry 54¢) and lost. Volume $37k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 11% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $4.1M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Josh Shapiro 5% · Andy Beshear 3% | $2.6M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $1.6M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.4M |
| LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Gen.G 96% · LYON 4% | $1.2M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · JD Vance 17% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% | $952k |
| Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5) | Gen.G 67% · LYON 34% | $896k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $781k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| notfairplay | Down | $2k |
| 0x03be… | Down | $578.64 |
| RLWG | Down | $192.25 |
| 0xe8a0… | Down | $119.68 |
| maxmaxi04 | Down | $114.56 |
| irnwl | Down | $92.10 |
| 0xdc02… | Down | $82 |
| minusalpha1 | Down | $79.48 |
| 0x1452… | Down | $72.53 |
| lioren26 | Down | $66.80 |
| 0xd5c6… | Down | $59.40 |
| Elemace021 | Down | $58.42 |
255 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $3.9k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $3.6k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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