Up won. Smart money backed Down (5 ranked wallets, average entry 42¢) and lost. Volume $73k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 44% · IA 9% · AK 3% | $10.6M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 98% · Republican Party 2% | $10.3M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 82% · R Senate, D House 18% · Republicans Sweep 2% | $7.1M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 83% · Republican Party 19% | $6.2M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 74% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $4.9M |
| Florida Governor Election Winner | Byron Donalds (R) 90% · David Jolly (D) 9% | $2.5M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 84% · Mike Rogers (R) 17% | $2.2M |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Top Esports 46% · Invictus Gaming 55% | $2.1M |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| tlfd4 | Up | $2k |
| minusalpha1 | Up | $2k |
| tlfd1 | Up | $1k |
| maxmaxi04 | Up | $668.93 |
| CnR89 | Up | $431.24 |
| tlfd3 | Up | $320.98 |
| 0x7766… | Up | $311.46 |
| 0x1bc3… | Up | $277.99 |
| james0079 | Up | $241.18 |
| 0x0dbd… | Up | $240.84 |
| 0x3179… | Up | $222.11 |
| 0xed50… | Down | $196.67 |
421 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $10k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $7.8k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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