Down won. Smart money backed Up (4 ranked wallets, average entry 11¢) and lost. Volume $18k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 11% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $4.1M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Josh Shapiro 6% · Andy Beshear 3% | $2.6M |
| LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Gen.G 99% · LYON 1% | $2.3M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $1.6M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.4M |
| Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5) | Gen.G 85% · LYON 16% | $963k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $778k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% · James Talarico 1% | $703k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| rdimath | Down | $111.35 |
| Xiaojiang123456 | Down | $92.22 |
| 0x79ea… | Down | $86.47 |
| derderderder | Down | $64.57 |
| VeruK4 | Down | $64.57 |
| wikingdusa | Down | $64.57 |
| VeruK1 | Down | $64.57 |
| PRST1 | Down | $64.57 |
| Veruk3 | Down | $64.57 |
| WikingD2 | Down | $64.03 |
| VeruK2 | Down | $63.93 |
| FatSlag | Down | $52.85 |
196 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.5k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $889. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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