Down won. Smart money backed Up (2 ranked wallets, average entry 53¢) and lost. Volume $70k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
minusalpha1 took +$2.1k on Down from 58¢; the biggest loser gave up $2.7k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC | Nottingham Forest FC 68% · Manchester City FC 15% | $1.5M |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Invictus Gaming 20% · Gen.G 80% | $1.1M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Gavin Newsom 11% · Abdul El-Sayed 1% | $651k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $638k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · James Talarico 1% | $619k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 51% · Bilibili Gaming 25% · T1 17% | $617k |
| Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Bologna FC 1909 | Bologna FC 1909 69% · Parma Calcio 1913 6% | $508k |
| New Zealand legislative election winner? | National Party 99% · Labour Party 1% | $506k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| minusalpha1 | Down | $2k |
| rear | Down | $2k |
| tlfd4 | Down | $917.93 |
| tlfd1 | Down | $774.84 |
| 0x1bc3… | Down | $760.96 |
| A1729 | Down | $613.01 |
| casaverde | Down | $557.53 |
| CnR89 | Down | $557.20 |
| GoodVibes7 | Down | $429.96 |
| nibbio1 | Down | $405.01 |
| maxmaxi04 | Down | $347.21 |
| MartyPM | Down | $322.94 |
425 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $12k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $12k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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