Down won. Smart money backed Up (1 ranked wallet, average entry 10¢) and lost. Volume $0. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 37% · IA 11% · IA, KS 6% | $10.5M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 76% · R Senate, D House 19% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $8.4M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $4.7M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 76% · Republican Party 24% | $2.8M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 75% · Ken Paxton (R) 26% | $2.2M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 81% · Mike Rogers (R) 20% | $1.6M |
| Raptors vs. Clippers | Raptors 30% · Clippers 71% | $1.2M |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes 64% · No 36% | $1.1M |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x217a… | Down | $5k |
| 0xddf8… | Down | $174.52 |
| 0x88d2… | Down | $169.43 |
| mqog1m | Down | $119.88 |
| shashawen | Down | $100 |
| bitclout | Down | $90.28 |
| bothside | Down | $88.17 |
| restless | Down | $81.49 |
| crypto-babe | Down | $55.94 |
| blablablashka | Up | $47.75 |
| 1hao1k | Down | $37.79 |
| 0xcc63… | Down | $34.62 |
719 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $6.5k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $3.3k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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