Up won. Smart money backed Down (10 ranked wallets, average entry 22¢) and lost. Volume $0. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 25% · IA, KS 12% · IA 11% | $4.3M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.6M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.4M |
| Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner | Team Yandex 14% · Team Spirit 86% | $1.1M |
| SS Lazio vs. Cagliari Calcio | SS Lazio 53% · Cagliari Calcio 17% | $804k |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | Over 55% · Under 46% | $660k |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 31% | $650k |
| Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 83% · Draw (Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF) 11% | $583k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| volatilitygoeshard | Up | $1k |
| 0x3cdd… | Up | $416.91 |
| 0x1a55… | Up | $373.27 |
| .prime. | Up | $322.99 |
| SigmaPredictor007 | Up | $308.50 |
| trustbrad | Up | $280.44 |
| QuantumFren888 | Up | $248 |
| WhaleWatcher420 | Up | $247.99 |
| DoomTraderX | Up | $247.98 |
| LFGVortex | Up | $247.94 |
| ARS2023 | Up | $234.28 |
| fizzzzzz | Up | $221.59 |
1,308 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $7.7k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $6.8k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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