Down won. Smart money backed Up (2 ranked wallets, average entry 77¢) and lost. Volume $137k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 8% · IA, KS 8% | $4.3M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.3M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · Republicans Sweep 6% · D Senate, R House 1% | $2.0M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 30% | $1.9M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 74% · Ken Paxton (R) 28% | $1.4M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.3M |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | Legacy 2% · TheMongolz 98% | $884k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 16% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12% · Christine Lagarde 7% | $739k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xa01c… | Down | $22k |
| cccrrr | Down | $624.76 |
| 0xeda9… | Down | $557.77 |
| dhju67uthf | Down | $486.30 |
| Arbok1 | Down | $343.90 |
| 0xfe5e… | Down | $337.19 |
| 0xceb6… | Down | $322.18 |
| xowox | Down | $283.75 |
| tjcgfcf5666 | Down | $258.54 |
| 0x6062… | Down | $241.18 |
| 0xbf40… | Down | $225.59 |
| 0x1821… | Down | $208.01 |
1,192 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $31k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $27k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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