Down won. Smart money backed Up (1 ranked wallet, average entry 60¢) and lost. Volume $77k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 25% · IA, KS 12% · IA 11% | $4.3M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.6M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.4M |
| Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner | Team Yandex 9% · Team Spirit 92% | $1.1M |
| SS Lazio vs. Cagliari Calcio | SS Lazio 50% · Cagliari Calcio 14% | $804k |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | Over 55% · Under 46% | $660k |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 31% | $650k |
| Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 83% · Draw (Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF) 11% | $583k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| predict008 | Down | $791.09 |
| 0x2b0a… | Down | $307.97 |
| YellowCrocodile | Down | $292.95 |
| 0x9385… | Down | $169.72 |
| bitcoinlighf | Down | $168.58 |
| AndrewUSDT | Down | $149.36 |
| NKPOL | Down | $141.23 |
| morebyBTC | Down | $124.70 |
| skytrader123 | Down | $109.62 |
| 0xdb50… | Down | $104.15 |
| 0xa93a… | Down | $101.81 |
| Sword-Immortal | Down | $98.38 |
810 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $4.7k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $7.2k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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