Up won. Smart money backed Down (2 ranked wallets, average entry 48¢) and lost. Volume $67k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 11% · IA, KS 7% | $4.8M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 73% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $2.9M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.7M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 74% · Republican Party 28% | $2.6M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 80% · Mike Rogers (R) 21% | $1.8M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 76% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $1.6M |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes 0% · No 100% | $1.6M |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02? | Yes 45% · No 56% | $668k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| armunlabs | Up | $336.27 |
| 0xb6a9… | Up | $249.09 |
| Adiazg | Up | $174.46 |
| rabbit13 | Up | $135.51 |
| zjy888 | Up | $119.26 |
| 0xac37… | Up | $117.24 |
| babadok | Up | $93.11 |
| 0x527d… | Up | $70.80 |
| carmenprofit | Up | $69.33 |
| 0x9416… | Up | $59.38 |
| spursgobig | Up | $53.97 |
| ar0ghost | Up | $53.09 |
735 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.7k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.5k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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