Down won. Smart money backed Up (4 ranked wallets, average entry 6¢) and lost. Volume $93k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| 0xcdcc… | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 76% · R Senate, D House 18% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $7.2M |
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 34% · IA 11% · IA, KS 7% | $6.4M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $4.0M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 76% · Republican Party 24% | $3.2M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 80% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 75% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $1.2M |
| Bears vs. Seahawks | Bears 39% · Seahawks 62% | $624k |
| Hawks vs. Pacers | Hawks 79% · Pacers 22% | $588k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| BlackMagic88 | Down | $4k |
| Under1345 | Down | $2k |
| Timpossible | Down | $718.10 |
| anderson3 | Down | $561.65 |
| Helpless-Sunshine-Peen | Down | $378.68 |
| btc12 | Down | $213.80 |
| castaways8080 | Down | $156.24 |
| TTTTTT20 | Down | $109.89 |
| Samehjouini | Up | $104.62 |
| winnerstar | Down | $100.97 |
| 0087078 | Down | $92.08 |
| 0x8875… | Down | $90.00 |
881 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $10k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $4.1k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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