Down won. Smart money backed Up (2 ranked wallets, average entry 26¢) and lost. Volume $51k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
230 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.4k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.9k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 25% · IA, KS 12% · IA 11% | $5.2M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.6M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.4M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 81% · Mike Rogers (R) 20% | $997k |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 30% | $691k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 73% · Republican Party 28% | $459k |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner | Ashley Hinson (R) 59% · Josh Turek (D) 42% | $454k |
| Ningbo: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Yaroslav Demin | Petr Bar Biryukov 54% · Yaroslav Demin 46% | $426k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Qurony | Down | $928.42 |
| pol1gl1tch | Down | $300 |
| Dastingo555 | Down | $125.81 |
| pipi5673 | Down | $106.39 |
| BTC12446678 | Down | $74.54 |
| polimarki | Down | $65.45 |
| youyizhiguangg | Down | $52.28 |
| iamnotanikz | Down | $47.49 |
| starcks | Down | $43.24 |
| twappin | Down | $37.25 |
| pepito17 | Down | $34.28 |
| vmhvmnvv | Down | $32.68 |