Up won. Smart money backed Down (3 ranked wallets, average entry 28¢) and lost. Volume $124k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 25% · IA, KS 12% · IA 11% | $4.3M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.6M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.4M |
| Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner | Team Yandex 14% · Team Spirit 86% | $1.1M |
| SS Lazio vs. Cagliari Calcio | SS Lazio 53% · Cagliari Calcio 17% | $804k |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | Over 55% · Under 46% | $660k |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 31% | $650k |
| Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 83% · Draw (Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF) 11% | $583k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xb4f8… | Up | $5k |
| oxe78sh4w98 | Up | $697.52 |
| geikoufanchi | Up | $559.87 |
| 0xeda9… | Up | $284.98 |
| 3123123121313 | Up | $267.74 |
| 0xc58e… | Up | $260.39 |
| 0xc878… | Up | $250.00 |
| 0xc4be… | Up | $216.72 |
| 4door | Up | $200.68 |
| phasing | Up | $194.65 |
| 2way2500 | Up | $184.66 |
| adururu | Up | $182.13 |
804 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $11k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $4.4k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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